Hurricane Melissa Intensifies As It Moves Toward Jamaica
Tropical Storm Melissa is projected to strengthen into a uncommon highest-level hurricane as it turns in the direction of Jamaica, delivering life-threatening sudden floods and rock falls.
This weather system, which had winds of up to 195 km/h as of 0600 Greenwich Mean Time, is now shifting northwest in the Caribbean Sea and is expected to make landfall by early next week, as reported by weather experts.
Warnings of blackouts and disruption to utilities have been announced as Melissa produces up to thirty inches of rain and coastal flooding as high as 4m above normal levels. "Seek shelter now," inhabitants have been urged.
This hurricane is the 13th hurricane in the ongoing Atlantic storm period, which usually concludes in November.
Category Five Cyclone Danger
A Category 5 hurricane is the most powerful category, with wind speeds of at least 157 miles per hour.
While this storm is expected to reduce in intensity to a fourth-level hurricane before reaching the island, meteorologists said there was "minimal real distinction in the general consequences" upon making contact with land, and that the cyclone will be "at least that intensity" when it impacts the country.
Immediate Safety Steps
With storm-force gusts and precipitation predicted to begin ahead of it passes over central Jamaica - including potentially the national capital - advisories emphasize that "readiness efforts must be accelerated".
"A multi-day period of damaging winds and heavy rainfall have begun and will cause catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding and many mudslides," counseled climate experts.
Jamaican Prime Minister the statesman commented: "I realize that there are countless citizens who are concerned, who are deeply troubled, and with good reason: concern is justified.
"However the most effective method to address anxiety and any nervousness and worry is to be prepared."
Inhabitants are being instructed to protect their properties with sand barriers and wooden boards, and to gather necessary supplies.
Broader Impact
Advisories are also ongoing for regions of the neighboring country encompassing the primary urban center, the Dominican Republic and eastern Cuba, where this storm is anticipated to bring similar effects by the middle portion of the coming week.
Mudslides already being caused by the cyclone have already killed two in the country, according to local authorities.
Future Path
The hurricane is predicted to cross the island nation by the middle of the week before traveling via the Antillas Mayores and out into the Atlantic.
By the point it makes contact with Cuba, it is forecast to have weakened to a category three cyclone.
Climate Context
Although it is challenging to link specific storms to climate change, researchers say it is making weather phenomena increasingly frequent and more severe.
Higher ocean heat generate more moisture in the environment, contributing to the creation of storms.
Before the start of this season's Caribbean cyclone season, weather organizations forecast above-normal activity, referencing heated marine conditions and possible stronger monsoon activity around African coastal regions - where tropical systems often form.